1NVEST0R MAND1R1 maen SAHAM bener

belajar MANDIRI, akan JAUH LEBE SUKSES (SEJAK 210809)

analisis teknikal sederhana saham2 yang gw transaksikan … everyday 9 Desember 2009

Filed under: Teknik Maen Saham — bumi2009fans @ 7:10 am

setelah LEBIH daripada 13 bulan maen saham beneran, dengan 11 saham berbeda, dengan berbagai taktik strategi maen, termasuk berupa inves dan trading dalam berbagai cara, terutama dalam tren naek tentu saja (bullish), dan juga tetap fokus LABA DALAM TREN TURUN (bearish), MAKA GW YAKIN BAHWA ANALISIS TEKNIKAL ITU PENTING … SEMUA CALON INVESTOR SAHAM DAN INVESTOR SAHAM BIASA HARUS BELAJAR 2 ANALISIS TEKNIKAL YANG PALING SEDERHANA: terkait momentum dan terkait batas harga … terkait dengan momentum adalah SINYAL BELI atau JUAL YANG SEDANG BERLANGSUNG DI PASAR PADA SAAT ITU (atau setidak-tidaknya 15 menit terlambat) … momentum ini bisa menolong investor untuk MEMPRAKIRAKAN PERGERAKAN HARGA AKAN TURUN atau NAEK … kalo pergerakan harga saat itu TURUN, maka strategi FOKUS PADA LABA DALAM TREN TURUN SEBAIKNYA DIGUNAKAN … kalo pergerakan harga saat itu NAEK, maka INI MAH ANAK SD JUGA BISA MAENNYA 😛 … kalo pergerakan harga stagnan, juga bisa tercermin dari momentum tersebut, sehingga bisa disimak dari grafik teknikal arah TERSAMAR ke naek atawa TURUN … kalo stagnan turun, MAKA FOKUS LABA DALAM TREN TURUN YANG DILAKUKAN … kalo naek, ANAK SD YANG MAEN dah 😛 …

Best Stock Analysis Software
Posted by DeMerchant

In the stock trading business, the simple rule on buying low and selling high does not happen over easy valuations and trend predictions. There is a complex system of economic, business, and sometimes human factors that come into play before you choose to properly make a trade.
… prinsip beli rendah dan jual tinggi pada maen saham tidak lah MUDAH … analisis untuk melakukannya dengan bagus harus didasarkan pada sistem ekonomi, bisnis, dan faktor psikologis yang rumit …

For some people who have made a lot of money through the stock market they may have been lucky or utterly smart and wise to place their investments to where they think it should be. The process of thinking and analyzing investments are more important and valuable in playing in the stock market. Anything could happen to your investments through the dynamic financial activities and world economy that affect stocks and derivative instruments. That is why the need for proper monitoring, market research and market timing should be of utmost importance in this kind of business.

Stock trading entails a lot of analysis from a company’s retained earnings for its outstanding shares to the more complex algorithms expressed in stock market charts with all the technical signals that bleep sometimes all at the same time. However, trading at this time and age have been made easy through the development of automated trading centers or exchanges around the globe also known as electronic trading. And similarly, studying price movements and market fluctuations are now made easier through one’s computer monitor with the development of analysis software.

Even before one dives into the actual practice of stock trading there are certain business terms that he or she should be familiar with in order to properly maneuver his or her sail in the wide ocean of securities, derivatives and bonds that flood the stock market. When it comes to investing, a prospective investor in the stock market should be keen on the financial standing of the company such as its long-term solvency through cash flows, debt standing and equity analysis among others. Such daunting tasks of actually studying a company’s accounts and annual or monthly reports could take up most of your time that may otherwise be spent on starting your investment career. A business analysis software can do the task of analyzing endless accounts of a company that you are interested to invest in. This type of financial analysis software takes into consideration a business’ financial history, its share in the market and its projected stability in the coming years. A substantial amount of financial information of a given company can be accessed in the Securities and Exchange Commission through the Internet. Some businesses use account analysis software to monitor the changes or differences over their reported balances such as those accounts in banks over the actual monetary value that they have.

It is important to have a general knowledge of business corporations and the general movement that they do in the market because information about them will all be a waste if you do not know how to use them. Investment analysis software can do the task of analyzing an investment whether it is high risk or not. The decision to invest in a certain company’s capital stock would be greatly assisted. In this type of software you have to input the material financial information for analysis. You can also even input your own philosophy or your investment strategies that can be monitored in your computer when you use it. This kind of software will also help you project the value of your investments in current and future equivalent terms and compare the available performance of alternative investments. This should also help you build a portfolio of investments, which you are planning to keep for a period of time.

The stock market opens during the day and closes early in the afternoon where most of its transactions are valuable data that could be used in predicting the outcome for the next day. Placing a trade in the market the next day through a stockbroker would be easy with stock market analysis software. Stock markets have diverse and volatile stock prices that go up and down during the day, which you might not have all the time in the world to monitor during the day. This can be done for you in a few hours. The stock market technical analysis software also provides the basic technical analysis of the market through charts, its own computations and probable movements and exit points whether it is a bull or bear market. Surely, no investor would want to keep his or her investments in a slowly moving stock market, which a technical analysis software forecasts.

For analysis of stocks, there are a lot of free stock analysis software that are available on the Internet. Software for stock analysis usually rely only on the technical analysis of a specific stock or market. Fundamental analysis also comes into play when deciding on an investment.

The nature of technical analysis is of the primary study of stock prices that are believed to be the ultimate expression of any company’s standing and performance in the market. Prices of stocks are monitored—their historical and future movements are charted to help present the price trend and volume patterns of stocks. There are a number of technical indicators that are employed in doing a technical analysis. These indicators are price and volume of a stock and the commodity and currency in the market that are transformed into mathematical expressions. The price direction and trend are determined by the use of these indicators. Options analysis software would rely heavily on the relative price and volume correlations provided by a technical analysis like its option’s put/call ratios and implied volatility.

A stock’s price and volume are all the facts needed for stock technical analysis software. This type of software is necessary in forecasting price trends and volume behavior of an instrument in the market. Technical analysis is a security analysis technique that uses charts to express models and trading rules. In a technical analysis, models such as a stock’s relative strength index, regressions, moving averages, cycles, price patterns and inter-market price correlations are studied. Compared to the fundamental analysis, which is also used in making investments, the technical analysis is more widely used in the stock market and foreign exchanges. But the use of both analyses is probably a safer approach.

Stock analysis software need not employ technicians because of its built-in applications, which can be customized according to one’s preferred technical indicators. In this way, one’s own strategy could be evaluated and improved. Analysis of charts and graphs would also be made easy through stock chart analysis software. Patterns are charted and interpretation would depend on one’s experience or expertise at analyzing the curves and straight lines on one’s charts. Even the trends of specific stocks by the key players in the market or industry can be tracked down and analyzed in an easy way by a stock trend analysis software.

It is not difficult to acquire free stock technical analysis software because they are available on the Internet. Some software developers whose patents are still pending provide an online free trial of the program, which is actually helpful in comparing the different software products available in the worldwide web. The best stock analysis software is the one that works best for you. The best software should be the one that will allow you to meet your goals of buying high yielding stocks at a low price and gain a considerable amount of money when you sell them. A good software that one could most probably start with is one with a market timing application because you would be needing it to monitor price changes to be able take advantage of the best opportunity to place a trade.

When actually practicing stock trading the need to evaluate or even keep a close watch at how your investments are going, whether they are going down or not in the market, is very important. The ultimate objective in going for investing in stocks trading is to gain as much financial returns from your investment but the task could be challenging if you have other obligations to perform.

tujuan terakhir dan utama maen saham : memperoleh gain atau LABA semaksimum mungkin

… tujuan terakhir dan utama maen saham : memperoleh gain atau LABA semaksimum mungkin …

Trade analysis software is available nowadays to help you meet the requirements of analyzing and evaluating your trade transaction especially when you have a number of investments in the different business industries. It helps track your past transactions and could even provide the reason why you placed that trade at that time by also showing the market conditions that existed during that period. A stock trading software allows you to easily search targeted trade and receive information about them while managing your other accounts.

program analisis teknikal trading bisa meringankan beban pikiran investor saat memiliki beberapa jenis saham

… program analisis teknikal trading bisa meringankan beban pikiran investor saat memiliki beberapa jenis saham …

A software application that could generate buy and sell signals for your specific stock is a great advantage. This is a type of prospecting tool that is useful in starting a career in trading. Trading for a particular stock in the market could be made easy when using a stock accounting software. A stock trading analysis software could give you access to different online stock market brokers from whom you could match and compare your trades to accurately calculate gains and losses on your transactions. This type of program could have a direct link to your Internal Revenues System or your accountant to inform them if you have indeed made a capital gain. When you actually accumulate losses instead of gains, this program will run and do the work of analyzing and comparing data while you do other things.
sinyal beli dan jual pada sebuah analisis teknikal adalah yang paling PENTING diperoleh …

When it comes to managing your portfolio of investments you would definitely need help in analyzing your current net worth and income streams. A fund manager will help monitor and analyze stocks and mutual funds with easy graphs and reports. When connected with a brokerage firm for your transaction, a fund analysis software will be helpful in keeping track of your investments. A reverse portfolio report by a portfolio management application is used to identify the persons in each fund, the accurate number of units involved in the transaction, as well as the stock valuations. The amount under the fund’s management can also be tracked.

Most stock market software could provide you with regular reviews either monthly or annually of your current investment performance. Buying and selling opportunities are also identified when you record the projections you actually want to meet against that of your own performance.

From among the different type of stock analysis software products that are available these days, compatibility with your own computer’s operating system should be checked because some features of certain trading software applications may not run.

The Linux stock analysis software is an open source type of software that is available on the Internet for free. There is actually a list of some stock trading software that is dependent on a Linux operating system. There exists an online stock trading software from programs that run on Linux, which can be viewed through Yahoo! That also includes moving averages and technical analysis. Features of a Linux trading software includes:

• Analysis of the total portfolio and its returns against its buys and as against its sells, which are later compared to all the transactions made
• Storage of transactions in account-specific files
• Maintenance of accounts of different derivative instruments or currencies
• Comparison reports of important averages on the available shares per price transactions
• Comparison of your gains and losses in all the accounts of your portfolio
• Gives you updates of currency quotes in the World Wide Web in real time.
• You can delete, add and store stock evaluation through its on-line storage that is secured by Firewall and is password protected.

analisis portofolio total dan labanya sesuai dengan transaksi, harga rata-rata beli satu jenis saham, perbandingan laba dan rugi pada beberapa jenis saham, dan kurs mata uang asing real-time, ITU SEMUA DAPAT DILIHAT LANGSUNG PADA PROGRAM TRANSAKSI secara ONLINE, yang disediakan broker sekuritas, contohnya, e-trading, ipot, dll

… analisis portofolio total dan labanya sesuai dengan transaksi, harga rata-rata beli satu jenis saham, perbandingan laba dan rugi pada beberapa jenis saham, dan kurs mata uang asing real-time, ITU SEMUA DAPAT DILIHAT LANGSUNG PADA PROGRAM TRANSAKSI secara ONLINE, yang disediakan broker sekuritas, contohnya, e-trading, ipot, dll …
As you browse through the Internet for the best program that should work best for you, you might want to read stock analysis software reviews that provide detailed explanations of the features of a specific software application. They also list and compare the benefits that you could get from using that software. It is wise to choose the software that you could understand because that will definitely help you reach your goals.
… terkait momentum ada beberapa analisis teknikal yang bisa dilihat dari blog ini: William%R :

Williams %R
Introduction
… dikembangkan oleh L. Williams, W%R adalah indikator momentum yang bekerja mirip Osilator Stochastic. W%R terutama populer untuk pengukuran tingkat jenuh beli dan jenuh jual. Skala terentang dari 0 s/d 100… 0 s/d -20 : dianggap JENUH BELI dan -80 s/d -100 : dianggap JENUH JUAL
Developed by Larry Williams, Williams %R is a momentum indicator that works much like the Stochastic Oscillator. It is especially popular for measuring overbought and oversold levels. The scale ranges from 0 to -100 with readings from 0 to -20 considered overbought, and readings from -80 to -100 considered oversold.W%R menunjukkan kaitan harga penutupan relatif atas rentang tinggi-rendah dalam jangka waktu tertentu … semakin dekat harga penutupan pada puncak rentangan, indikator menjadi semakin dekat ke NOL (lebe tinggi) … semakin dekat harga penutupan ke dasar rentangan, indikator menjadi semakin dekat -100 (lebe rendah) … jika harga penutupan sama dengan nilai tertinggi pada rentang tinggi-rendah, maka indikator menunjukkan angka 0 (bacaan tertinggi). Sebaliknya jika harga penutupan sama dengan bagian terendah pada rentang tinggi-rendah, maka bacaannya sama dengan -100 (bacaan terendah) …
William %R, sometimes referred to as %R, shows the relationship of the close relative to the high-low range over a set period of time. The nearer the close is to the top of the range, the nearer to zero (higher) the indicator will be. The nearer the close is to the bottom of the range, the nearer to -100 (lower) the indicator will be. If the close equals the high of the high-low range, then the indicator will show 0 (the highest reading). If the close equals the low of the high-low range, then the result will be -100 (the lowest reading).Calculation

%R = [(highest high over ? periods – close)/(highest high over ? periods – lowest low over ? periods)] * -100
Typically, Williams %R is calculated using 14 periods and can be used on intraday, daily, weekly or monthly data. The time frame and number of periods will likely vary according to desired sensitivity and the characteristics of the individual security.

Use

… penting diingat bahwa JENUH BELI BUKAN PASTI WAKTU UNTUK JUAL dan JENUH JUAL BUKAN PASTI WAKTU UNTUK BELI … harga saham bisa berjalan turun menjadi jenuh jual dan tetap jenuh jual karena harga terus berlanjut lebe rendah … bila harga saham menjadi jenuh beli atawa jenuh jual, trader harus menunggu sinyal bahwa pembalikan arah harga sedang terjadi … salah satu caranya adalah bila W%R berhasil menembus ke atas atawa ke bawah rentang -50 untuk konfirmasinya … konfirmasi pembalikan arah tren harga juga dilakukan dengan menggunakan indikator laen, yang dipakai berbarengan …

It is important to remember that overbought does not necessarily imply time to sell and oversold does not necessarily imply time to buy. A security can be in a downtrend, become oversold and remain oversold as the price continues to trend lower. Once a security becomes overbought or oversold, traders should wait for a signal that a price reversal has occurred. One method might be to wait for Williams %R to cross above or below -50 for confirmation. Price reversal confirmation can also be accomplished by using other indicators or aspects of technical analysis in conjunction with Williams %R.

One method of using Williams %R might be to identify the underlying trend and then look for trading opportunities in the direction of the trend. In an uptrend, traders may look to oversold readings to establish long positions. In a downtrend, traders may look to overbought readings to establish short positions.

… Rate of Change:
Technical Analysis, Studies, Indicators:

ROC (Rate of Change)
menurut danareksa research institute:
PRICE RATE-OF-CHANGEMonday, 04 August 2008 02:49
0 CommentsBOLE JUGA BACA PENDAPAT SEORANG TRADER OZ YANG TERKENAL :http://sahambumicrash2009.blogdetik.com/2010/10/02/rate-of-change-by-wilson/

Indikator Price Rate-of-Change (ROC) hampir serupa dengan indikator Momentum. Indikator ROC ini menunjukkan selisih antara harga suatu produk sekuritas pada saat ini dengan harganya pada suatu periode yang lalu. Jika indikator Momentum menyajikan informasi dalam bentuk rasio, indikator ROC menyajikan informasi selisih harga tersebut dalam bentuk poin (nilai absolut) maupun persentasi.

Penggunaan Price Rate-of-Change
Indikator ROC menghitung seberapa besar perubahan harga suatu produk sekuritas dalam jangka waktu tertentu yang grafiknya biasanya tampak seperti oscillator (gerakan seperti gelombang). Jika harga naik, maka ROC juga naik dan sebaliknya jika harga turun, maka ROC juga turun. Makin besar perubahan pada harga, maka makin besar pula perubahan pada indikator ROC.

Jangka waktu periode yang digunakan untuk menghitung ROC bisa bervariasi dari 1-hari sampai 200-hari atau lebih. Jangka waktu periode yang lebih panjang akan menghasilkan grafik ROC yang lebih stabil. Jangka waktu periode yang paling sering digunakan adalah 12-hari dan 25-hari untuk perdagangan jangka pendek maupun jangka menengah. Jangka waktu ini diperkenalkan oleh Gerald Appel and Fred Hitschler dalam buku mereka yang berjudul Sistem Perdagangan Pasar Saham.

ROC dengan jangka waktu periode 12-hari merupakan indikator yang sangat bagus untuk menentukan keadaan jenuh beli/ jenuh jual untuk jangka pendek sampai jangka menengah. Makin tinggi ROC harga suatu produk sekuritas, makin besar pula kemungkinan bahwa produk sekuritas tersebut dalam keadaan jenuh beli. Sebaliknya, makin rendah ROC harga suatu produk sekuritas, makin besar pula kemungkinan bahwa produk sekuritas tersebut dalam keadaan jenuh jual.

Hal yang perlu diperhatikan sebagaimana indikator jenuh beli/ jenuh jual lainnya, sebelum benar-benar membeli/menjual suatu produk sekuritas berdasarkan indikator ROC ini, perlu diperhatikan bahwa harga produk sekuritas tersebut harus sudah benar-benar naik atau turun. Hal ini dikarenakan keadaan jenuh beli/ jenuh jual bisa terjadi dalam jangka waktu yang cukup lama, bahkan kadang-kadang hanya merupakan kelanjutan sebuah tren yang sedang berlangsung.

menurut stockchart.com :

Laju Perubahan adalah indikator teknikal sederhana yang menunjukkan selisih persentase antara harga saham saat ini dan harga saham N periode lalu …

The Rate of Change (ROC) is a simple technical indicator that shows the percentage difference between the current price and the price n periods ago.
ROC = (Close – Close N periods ago) / Close N periods ago * 100

… osilator ini berfluktuasi di atas dan di bawah garis dasar Zero … saat harga naek, ROC bergerak ke atas dan saat turun, ROC juga turun … semakin besar perubahan harga, semakin besar perubahan indikasi ROC …

ROC is an oscillator that fluctuates above and below the zero line. When the price rises, the ROC moves up and when the price declines, the ROC falls. The greater the change in the price, the greater is the change in the ROC.

… alat ini digunakan sebagai indikator momentum dengan cara menganalisis divergensi positif dan negatif, sambil mencari rentang tinggi-rendah dan pelintasan garis dasar zero … ROC bisa digunakan untuk menentukan pasar sedang JENUH BELI dan JENUH JUAL … ROC tinggi dianggap sebagai keadaan harga saham yang lebih JENUH BELI dan ROC rendah sebagai kondisi lebih JENUH JUAL … pada kebanyakan keadaan, kondisi AMAT JENUH BELI/JENUH JUAL bisa aja petunjuk keberlangsungan tren sama saat ini …

The ROC can be used as any momentum technical indicator by analyzing positive and negative divergence, looking for high lows and zero line crossovers. The ROC can be used to define overbought and oversold markets. The higher ROC is considered a more overbought security and the lower ROC is a more oversold security. However, in many cases, the extremely overbought/oversold ROC may indicate a continuation of the recent trend.

… sebaiknya berlatih dulu dengan cara mempelajari catatan grafik masa lalu, guna memperhatikan kaitan tingkat ROC dan perubahan harga …

It is a good practice to scroll the chart back to the recent past (several frames back) to see the correlation between ROC and the price change and then to try to apply it to the current market.

… tapi ROC bisa aja memberi sinyal PALSU … jadi sebaiknya gunakan berbarengan dengan alat teknikal laen …

Like other momentum indicators, the ROC may generate fake signals. It is a good idea to use this indicator in conjunction with other non- momentum technical indicators, including volume based indicators.

… bisa juga tambah wawasan dari link ini :  http://belajarforex.com/artikel-teknikal/rate-of-change-and-momentum.html

… dan yang paling gw andalkan saat ini SLOW STOCHASTIC:

Stochastic Oscillator (Fast, Slow, and Full)
Introduction
… osilator STOCHASTIC adalah indikator momentum yang menunjukkan lokasi harga penutupan saat ini relatif terhadap rentang tinggi/rendah pada suatu periode tertentu … tingkat harga penutupan secara konsisten berada dekat puncak rentang itu menunjukkan adanya AKUMULASI BELI ( tekanan beli) dan tingkat harga yang dekat dasar rentang menunjukkan terjadinya pelepasan atau distribusi atau penyebaran (tekanan jual) …
Developed by George C. Lane in the late 1950s, the Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator that shows the location of the current close relative to the high/low range over a set number of periods. Closing levels that are consistently near the top of the range indicate accumulation (buying pressure) and those near the bottom of the range indicate distribution (selling pressure).

Another very popular tool in the trader’s tool belt is the Stochastics indicator. The Stochastic Oscillator was developed by George C. Lane in the late 1950’s. The goal of this momentum indicator is to determine if the stock price is in the upper or lower trading range over a set amount of time.

Calculation
%K menggunakan harga penutupan yang paling mutakhir, yaitu tertinggi sepanjang waktu tertentu dan terendah selama periode tertentu … lama periode bervariasi sesuai dengan tingkat sensitivitas dan jenis sinyal yang dikehendaki …
A 14-day %K (14-period Stochastic Oscillator) would use the most recent close, the highest high over the last 14 days and the lowest low over the last 14 days. The number of periods will vary according to the sensitivity and the type of signals desired. As with RSI, 14 is a popular number of periods for calculation.
%K adalah rasio persentase yang berfluktuasi antara 0 dan 100 … %D adalah 3-day simple moving average daripada %K yang berfungsi sebagai garis sinyal atau pemicu …
%K tells us that the close (115.38) was in the 57th percentile of the high/low range, or just above the mid-point. Because %K is a percentage or ratio, it will fluctuate between 0 and 100. A 3-day simple moving average of %K is usually plotted alongside to act as a signal or trigger line, called %D.

… lalu untuk batas harga saham ybs, gw biasanya menggunakan BOLLINGER BANDS, sehingga bisa MEMPRAKIRAKAN TREN TEMBUS ATAWA MEMBAL TURUN ATAWA MANTUL NAEK PADA HARGA RESISTENSI ATAWA HARGA SUPPORT … pada bollinger bands ada 3 batas yang selalu muncul di analisisnya, batas atas, medium, dan batas bawah … ada analisis canggih dari bollinger bands memang, tapi gw ga selalu pake karena tetap aja AKURASINYA LEMAH … gw cuma pake alat2 teknikal ini dengan KEYAKINAN 89%, karena 5% harus dibantu analisis fundamental seperti fundamental bisnis, fundamental industri, fundamental saham, ekonomi makro, ekonomi global, politikoekonomi, psikologi pasar … 6% gw pasrah pada FAKTOR X … itu sebabnya setelah dilengkapi dengan segala macam analisis yang PENTING, gw perlu DIVERSIFIKASI INVESTASI, ke emas, reksa dana, properti, dan kesehatan juga lah 🙂 … neh info sedikit bollinger bands: (… baca juga di posting ini :

Bollinger Bands
IntroductionDeveloped by John Bollinger, Bollinger Bands are an indicator that allows users to compare volatility and relative price levels over a period of time. The indicator consists of three bands designed to encompass the majority of a security’s price action…. bb adalah indikator yang membantu investor untuk membandingkan fluktuasi dan tingkat harga relatif selama periode tertentu … indikator terdiri dari 3 pita rentang yang meliputi sebagian besar perubahan harga saham …

A simple moving average in the middle
An upper band (SMA plus 2 standard deviations)
A lower band (SMA minus 2 standard deviations)
Standard deviation is a statistical unit of measure that provides a good assessment of a price plot’s volatility. Using the standard deviation ensures that the bands will react quickly to price movements and reflect periods of high and low volatility. Sharp price increases (or decreases), and hence volatility, will lead to a widening of the bands.

… SMA (rerata bergerak sederhana) di bagian tengah bb

… bagian pita rentang atas (SMA + 2 deviasi standar)

— bagian pita rentang bawah (SMA – 2 deviasi standar)

Calculation

The center band is the 20-day simple moving average. The upper band is the 20-day simple moving average plus 2 standard deviations. The lower band is the 20-day simple moving average less 2 standard deviations.

… pita tengah adalah SMA 20 hari … pita atas adalah sma 20 h + 2 deviasi standar … pita bawah adalah sma 20 h – 2 deviasi standar …

Settings

Closing prices are most often used to compute Bollinger Bands. Other variations, including typical and weighted prices, can also be used.

… harga penutupan paling sering digunakan untuk menghitung indikator bb … bisa juga variasinya, yaitu harga dominan dan harga tertimbang …

Typical Price = (high + low + close)/3
Weighted Price = (high + low + close + close)/4
Bollinger recommends using a 20-day simple moving average for the center band and 2 standard deviations for the outer bands. The length of the moving average and number of deviations can be adjusted to better suit individual preferences and specific characteristics of a security.

… penggunaan sma 20 hari untuk pita tengah dan 2 deviasi standar untuk pita2 di sekitarnya … jarak antara sma dan deviasi standar bisa diatur lagi sendiri sesuai pengalaman dan keahlian investor dan perilaku harga saham tertentu …

Trial and error is one method to determine an appropriate moving average length. A simple visual assessment can be used to determine the appropriate number of periods. Bollinger Bands should encompass the majority of price action, but not all. After sharp moves, penetration of the bands is normal. If prices appear to penetrate the outer bands too often, then a longer moving average may be required. If prices rarely touch the outer bands, then a shorter moving average may be required.

A more exact method to determine moving average length is by matching it with a reaction low after a bottom. For a bottom to form and a downtrend to reverse, a security needs to form a low that is higher than the previous low. Properly set Bollinger Bands should hold support established by the second (higher) low. If the second low penetrates the lower band, then the moving average is too short. If the second low remains above the lower band, then the moving average is too long. The same logic can be applied to peaks and reaction rallies. The upper band should mark resistance for the first reaction rally after a peak.

https://transaksisaham.wordpress.com/2009/10/19/analisis-teknikal-bollinger-bands-yang-sederhana-191009/)Chart for Indika Energy Tbk (INDY.JK)Chart for Bank Rakyat Indonesia Tbk (BBRI.JK)
Catatan: grafik indy.jk dan bbri.jk dibandingkan dengan grafik harga bumi.jk,trub.jk,elsa.jk, antm.jk, bnii.jk,adro.jk (semua saham yang gw transaksikan) … sementara JKSE adalah ihsg … batas atas, medium, dan batas bawah bollinger bands menjadi sinyal harga support dan resistance … parabolic sar adalah momentum beli dan jual yaitu hijau untuk beli dan merah untuk tekanan jual … slow stochastic juga momentum beli dan jual, terutama biru untuk kekuatan sinyal beli dan merah kekuatan sinyal jual; bila terjadi cross antara biru dan merah, maka terjadi pembalikan arah tren harga … ROC juga momentum sinyal jual dan beli, namun rentang sinyal lebih lebar daripada slow stochastic, sehingga proses jenuh beli dan jenuh jual masih bisa diperkirakan seberapa kekuatannya …
… bwat yang mau maseh mo baca2 lage : http://www.trader2000.com/Chaos%20Theory%20Bill%20William.pdf ; http://www.trader2000.com/

… neh lage, analisis teknikal saham2 gw yang baru :

Chart for Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk (WIKA.JK)

Iklan
 

10 Responses to “analisis teknikal sederhana saham2 yang gw transaksikan … everyday”

  1. ABAS Says:

    Kalo bisa untuk pendeskripsian masing2 Indikator Teknikal ada yg menggunakan bahasa INDONESIA dong, masalahnya ENGLISH gw maseh terbata-bata. Thanks !

  2. Mulai main saham ginian maksud saya saham lokal gimana yah…?
    Kapital pertama min ?
    Saya baru tahu forex doang…Thanks yah

    • bumi2009fans Says:

      first thing first: NICE BLOG U HAVE … ini saham lokal punya imbal hasil hebring bo … karena 2 hal: asien-K maseh lom bosen maen di sini karena angka pertumbuhan ekonomi indon yang positif lumayan tinggi serta tren penguatan Rp yang lumayan dahsyat … ok, harus tentukan dulu mo maen GAYA ORANG SIBUK tapi KEREN atau gaya gw yang sederhana … gaya orang sibuk PASTI HARUS DIBANTU BROKER beneran … gaya gw mah lebe MANDIRI dan cerdas, karena gw harus BELAJAR beneran maennya … tidak ada uang pendaftaran atawa apa pun namanya saat dana masuk … batas minimum Rp. 5 juta atau Rp. 10 juta seh … tapi ada fee bulanan, kalo di ipot Rp.30.000,- … ada fee beli saham dan jual saham, total kira2 0,5% per transaksi … sebenarnya elo maen forex juga bisa memberikan imbal hasil yang GILA-gilaan … cara maennya agak mirip, tapi di saham lebe menekankan 2 hal : ekonomi mikro terkait industri dan emiten/perusahaan tbk …. data dan informasi yang laen hampir mirip juga, termasuk penggunaan analisis teknikalnya … baca2 dah posting2 di blog ini, khususnya baca ini : https://transaksisaham.wordpress.com/2010/04/17/bincang2-santai-sedikit-berkeringat-mana-investasi-yg-unggul/

  3. […] faktor teknikalitas yang mencerminkan psikologi pasar  https://transaksisaham.wordpress.com/2009/12/09/analisis-teknikal-sederhana-saham2-yang-gw-transaksik… […]

  4. […] baca juga analisis teknikal sederhana :  https://transaksisaham.wordpress.com/2009/12/09/analisis-teknikal-sederhana-saham2-yang-gw-transaksik… […]

  5. […] ANALISIS TEKNIKAL SEDERHANA SETIAP HARI lho (the simple technical analyses) […]

  6. iy4n Says:

    Gua mau belajar main saham brow

    tapi gua cuman punya modal 10jt

    n masih da perasaan tkut juga…

    bisa kasih saran brow

    thanks…

    • bumi2009fans Says:

      cobain tes nyali dulu dah … gw khan nyebut batasnya 35 ke atas, padahal maksimum skor adalah 35, itu artinya risiko maen saham itu serius banget … jadi jika skor iy4n minimum 30, oke lah untuk maen saham … skor di bawah itu, GA USA lah, karena profil anda tidak cocok … tapi kalo memaksakan juga, itu AMAT TERSERAH anda lah 🙂 … artinya semua risiko kerugian ditanggung sendiri … nah, 10 juta sudah lebih dari cukup untuk mulai maen saham … tapi sasaran jangka pendek adalah menguasai ilmu maen saham dulu yang lebe dalam dan luas .. baca2 dah posting2 gw soal ilmu maen saham beneran … semuanya dibaca dan coba dipahami … kalo sudah semakin mantap ilmunya, maka silakan mulai maen dengan sasaran LABA sekecil apa pun … misalnya LABA 1-2 poin dulu, lalu lanjutkan dengan 10-20 poin, dst, dst … gw memang menawarkan les maen saham,tapi itu terutama untuk memahami ilmu maen saham sederhana guna memperkuat basis pengetahuan saja … pengalaman anda akan membantu anda mengurangi kecemasan … pengalaman berlaba itu yang paling bisa mengurangi kecemasan … itu sebabnya semakin cepat anda mampu mencetak laba 1-2 poin, maka pede anda semakin terbentuk … semoga 🙂

  7. […] untuk menganalisis tren, momentum, dan batas-batas psikologi harga; contoh, baca posting ini : analisis teknikal ITU YANG SEDERHANA aja lah, JANGAN MUMET dan bollinger bands (bb bukan bau badan ) faktor trading berlaba, adalah faktor SUPERVITAL, tanpa […]


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